
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Atlanta Braves
-150O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+130
(-110/-110)+130
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Tyler Glasnow – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)Compared to league average, Tyler Glasnow has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, tallying an additional 6.6 adjusted pitches each outing.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-170)As a switch-hitter who is weaker from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will be at a disadvantage batting from his weak side against Bryce Elder in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Mookie Betts – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)Mookie Betts hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.8% — 97th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 5th-shallowest CF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Atlanta Braves Insights
- Bryce Elder – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)With 7 hitters of opposing handedness in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Bryce Elder will be in a tough position while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Atlanta Braves – Moneyline (+130)The Atlanta Braves projected batting order projects as the 4th-strongest of all teams today in terms of overall batting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-115)The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games at home (+13.65 Units / 24% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
