Discover the Rangers vs White Sox Preview and Prediction - Tuesday August 25, 2026

-110O/U: 7
(-120/+100)-110

Jacob deGrom – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
Jacob deGrom is projected to record an average of 16.3 outs in today’s matchup, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Logan O’Hoppe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Logan O’Hoppe has been unlucky this year, compiling a .254 wOBA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimating his true talent level to be .304 — a .050 discrepancy.
Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
As a team, Texas Rangers batters have done poorly when assessing hitting balls in the launch angle band that tends to optimize home runs (between 23° and 34°), rating 3rd-worst in MLB.
Explain: Balls that are hit too low can’t clear the fences, and balls that are hit too high generally don’t go far enough and are easy pop flies, but balls hit between 23° and 34° are far more likely to become home runs.

Anthony Kay – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
The Texas Rangers have 7 batters in the projected lineup that will hold the platoon advantage over Anthony Kay in this game, which is especially troublesome given his large platoon split.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Braden Montgomery – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Braden Montgomery is projected to bat 4th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the lineup this year.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
The 8.9% Barrel% of the Chicago White Sox makes them the #4 offense in the league this year by this stat.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Chicago White Sox – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+3.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Over/Under 7.0 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 46% ROI)
Anthony Kay – Over/Under 1.5 Walks Allowed (-165/+125)
Anthony Kay has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 48% ROI)

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