Yankees vs Tigers Picks and Odds - June 23, 2026

-115O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-105

New York Yankees – Moneyline (-115)
The New York Yankees infield defense profiles as the 3rd-strongest among every team on the slate today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Cody Bellinger – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
In the past week’s worth of games, Cody Bellinger’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 7.7% down to 0%.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in today’s game has an estimated true talent wOBA of .320, which is quite a bit lower than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.
Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Casey Mize – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Casey Mize is expected to tally an average of 5.5 strikeouts in this game.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Zach McKinstry – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
Zach McKinstry’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 84.4-mph seasonal figure has fallen to 75.6-mph over the past 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
The 9.1% Barrel% of the Detroit Tigers ranks them as the #7 club in Major League Baseball this year by this standard.
Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Detroit Tigers – Moneyline (-105)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 8 games at home (+5.40 Units / 50% ROI)
New York Yankees – Run Line -1.5 (+150)
The New York Yankees have hit the Run Line in 21 of their last 40 away games (+6.10 Units / 14% ROI)
Dillon Dingler – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+180/-235)
Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)

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