
Chicago Cubs
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Seattle Mariners
-130O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)+110
(-110/-110)+110
Chicago Cubs Insights
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-130)Among every team in action today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense is that of the the Chicago Cubs.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Carson Kelly – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Carson Kelly has negatively regressed with his Barrel% of late; his 5.4% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% in the last two weeks.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-130)The Chicago Cubs projected offense profiles as the 2nd-strongest of the day in terms of overall hitting skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryce Miller – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-125/-105)Bryce Miller has averaged 16.9 outs per outing this year, ranking in the 75th percentile.Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
- Cole Young – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)Cole Young’s average exit velocity has fallen off lately; his 88.6-mph seasonal figure has fallen off to 77.6-mph in the past 7 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Seattle Mariners – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Seattle Mariners’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-best among all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Chicago Cubs – Run Line -1.5 (+140)The Chicago Cubs have hit the Run Line in 17 of their last 23 away games (+13.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- Michael Conforto – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-105/-125)Michael Conforto has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.90 Units / 50% ROI)
