Betting Trends and Expert Picks for Astros vs Blue Jays Tuesday, June 23, 2026

Houston Astros

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Toronto Blue Jays

Houston Astros Insights

• Peter Lambert – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-120/-110)
  Peter Lambert’s high usage rate of his secondary pitches (60.5% this year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Raynel Delgado – Over/Under Total Bases
  The Toronto Blue Jays have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Raynel Delgado can likely count on holding the platoon advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Houston Astros – Moneyline (+120)
  The Houston Astros projected batting order grades out as the 5th-best of all teams on the slate today in terms of overall offensive ability.
  Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Shane Bieber – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+105/-135)
  Among all starting pitchers, Shane Bieber’s fastball spin rate of 2414 rpm ranks in the 81st percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen projects as the 4th-best in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.