
Pittsburgh Pirates
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Los Angeles Dodgers
+235O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-280
(-110/-110)-280
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Lake Bachar – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)With 7 batters who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected lineup, Lake Bachar meets a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s outing.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Nick Gonzales – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Nick Gonzales in the 97th percentile when assessing his batting average ability.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
- Oneil Cruz – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Oneil Cruz hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.5% — 86th percentile) and is fortunate to face baseball’s 9th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-280)Among all the teams today, the 2nd-weakest outfield defense is that of the the Los Angeles Dodgers.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
- Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-180)As a switch-hitter who bats worse from the 0 side of the dish, Tommy Edman will bat from his bad side against Lake Bachar in today’s matchup.Explain: Right-handed hitters perform better against left-handed pitchers (and visa-versa). This can have a huge impact on whether a hitter will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-280)The Los Angeles Dodgers projected lineup grades out as the best on the slate in terms of overall offensive skill.Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-145/+110)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+5.15 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pittsburgh Pirates – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team TotalThe Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.65 Units / 12% ROI)
- Hunter Feduccia – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)Hunter Feduccia has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+7.25 Units / 45% ROI)
