Game Location for Phillies vs Padres – 5/25/26

Philadelphia Phillies

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San Diego Padres

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Jesus Luzardo – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-160/+125)
  Compared to the average pitcher, Jesus Luzardo has been granted a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, recording an extra 5.6 adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Alec Bohm – Over/Under Stolen Bases
  Alec Bohm has paced 0 swiped bags per 600 plate appearances this year, grading out in the 0th percentile for base-stealing.
  Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
• Philadelphia Phillies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Philadelphia Phillies’ bullpen profiles as the 3rd-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

San Diego Padres Insights

• Randy Vasquez – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Randy Vasquez’s sinker usage has decreased by 7.7% from last year to this one (20.4% to 12.7%) .
  Explain: Sinkers are the easiest pitches to hit and generate the fewest strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his sinker less often will likely be more effective than he used to be.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
  When it comes to his batting average talent, Fernando Tatis Jr. is projected as the 20th-best batter in the league by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under Total Bases
  Fernando Tatis Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.4% — 99th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.