
Washington Nationals
@

Cleveland Guardians
+150O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-175
(-110/-110)-175
Washington Nationals Insights
- Zack Littell – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)Throwing 78.7 adjusted pitches per GS this year on average, Zack Littell checks in at the 16th percentile.Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Jorbit Vivas – Over/Under Stolen BasesChecking in at the 0th percentile for base-stealing, Jorbit Vivas has average 0 stolen bases per 600 plate appearances since the start of last season.Explain: Players who steal bases tend to continue stealing bases (and visa-versa).
- Washington Nationals – 2H MoneylineThe Washington Nationals bullpen projects as the 4th-worst in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Cleveland Guardians Insights
- Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)Tanner Bibee’s slider utilization has fallen by 13.8% from last year to this one (15.4% to 1.6%) .Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
- Steven Kwan – Over/Under Total BasesSteven Kwan has posted a .096 Isolated Power rate (ISO) this year, ranking in the 7th percentile.Explain: ISO is an advanced metric that measures a player’s ability to hit for power. Power, of course, is crucial for hitting home runs and extra-base hits.
- Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)Jose Ramirez pulls many of his flyballs (43.1% — 100th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
