Get Bets and Betting Tips for Reds vs Mets – 5/25/2026

Cincinnati Reds

@

New York Mets

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Nick Lodolo is expected to average a total of 17.9 outs in this matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-120/-110)
  Matt McLain has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (72% of the time), but he is projected to hit 9th in the batting order in this game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Nate Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Nathaniel Lowe has a 97th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (38.5%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the game’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

New York Mets Insights

• Nolan McLean – Over/Under 7.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Nolan McLean will have the handedness advantage against 6 opposing batters in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Luis Torrens – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Luis Torrens has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.2-mph dropping to 81.8-mph in the past week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Compared to their .320 overall projected rate, the .307 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the New York Mets projected offense in this game suggests this version of the lineup a fair amount weaker than usual.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-150/+120)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.90 Units / 23% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 23 games (+5.95 Units / 23% ROI)
• Carson Benge – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-115/-115)
  Carson Benge has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 15 games at home (+5.90 Units / 34% ROI)