Get the Winning Probability and Match Preview for Marlins vs Blue Jays - Monday, May 25, 2026

+130O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-150

Janson Junk – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-140/+110)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that Janson Junk will ring up an average of 16.8 outs in today’s game.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
The Miami Marlins have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Owen Caissie, Joe Mack, Kyle Stowers).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Trey Yesavage – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-150/+120)
Trey Yesavage has a large reverse platoon split and should be helped facing 6 opposite-handed bats today.
Explain: A pitcher with a reverse platoon split will perform better against opposite-handed hitters (i.e. a right-handed pitcher will be better against a left-handed hitter). Holding this advantage against several hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Lenyn Sosa – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-165/+125)
Lenyn Sosa is penciled in 9th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 68% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Toronto Blue Jays’ bullpen grades out as the 6th-best out of all teams in Major League Baseball.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+145)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 64% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 21 away games (+10.55 Units / 45% ROI)
Kazuma Okamoto – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+120/-155)
Kazuma Okamoto has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+6.35 Units / 18% ROI)

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