
Seattle Mariners
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Kansas City Royals
-140O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
Seattle Mariners Insights
- Bryan Woo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)Bryan Woo has gone to his slider 6.5% more often this season (26.5%) than he did last year (20%).Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- J.P. Crawford – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)J.P. Crawford is penciled in 1st in the lineup in this game, which would be an upgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Seattle Mariners – 2H MoneylineThe Seattle Mariners bullpen grades out as the 5th-best in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (+115)Among every team today, the best infield defense is that of the the Kansas City Royals.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Kyle Isbel – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+205/-275)Kyle Isbel is apt to have an edge against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Seattle Mariners only has 1 same-handed RP.Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
- Vinnie Pasquantino – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Today, Vinnie Pasquantino is at a disadvantage facing the league’s deepest RF fences given that he hits his flyballs to the pull field at a 38.2% rate (94th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
