Live Stream Details for Dodgers vs Padres – Monday, May 18, 2026

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

San Diego Padres

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Yoshinobu Yamamoto – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  It may come as a surprise, but fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Yoshinobu Yamamoto has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 7.4% more often this season (64.4%) than he did last season (57%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Teoscar Hernandez – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
  Teoscar Hernandez is penciled in 8th on the lineup card today, which would be a downgrade from his 59% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Los Angeles Dodgers hitters jointly have been among the best in baseball this year (3rd-) as far as their 89.9-mph average exit velocity.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

San Diego Padres Insights

• San Diego Padres – Moneyline (+130)
  The San Diego Padres outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-worst out of all the teams in action today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing (or, in this case, allowing) hits and runs.
• Jackson Merrill – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Jackson Merrill has seen a significant improvement in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 96.6-mph average to last season’s 93.4-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Fernando Tatis Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-190)
  Fernando Tatis Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (40.5% — 99th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the game’s 2nd-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• San Diego Padres – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (+105/-135)
  The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.15 Units / 65% ROI)
• Los Angeles Dodgers – Moneyline (-150)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
• Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+170/-225)
  Freddie Freeman has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+9.60 Units / 19% ROI)