Game Breakdown: Athletics vs D-Backs Team Stats and Insights – July 21, 2026

Athletics

@

Arizona Diamondbacks

Athletics Insights

• Jack Perkins – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-130/+100)
  Jackson Perkins has tallied 13.3 outs per game per started this year, placing in the 20th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Tyler Soderstrom stands a good chance of holding the advantage against every reliever all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen projects as the 8th-worst among all the teams in baseball.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Arizona Diamondbacks Insights

• Kohl Drake – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
  With 8 bats who hit from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Kohl Drake encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in today’s matchup.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Ketel Marte – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Ketel Marte pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.1% — 94th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards the game’s 3rd-deepest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 24 games (+5.25 Units / 20% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 24 games (+9.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• Henry Bolte – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
  Henry Bolte has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 away games (+9.65 Units / 75% ROI)