
Athletics
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Los Angeles Angels
-130O/U: 9
(-110/-110)+110
(-110/-110)+110
Athletics Insights
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)J.T. Ginn performed well in his previous start and gave up 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+175/-230)Lawrence Butler has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 7.2% seasonal rate has fallen off to 0% in the past 7 days.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- The Athletics have 3 bats in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Zack Gelof, Nick Kurtz, Henry Bolte).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts
Los Angeles Angels Insights
- Walbert Urena – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)Given that flyball pitchers are least effective against groundball hitters, Walbert Urena (49.8% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) will be a bit disadvantaged in this matchup with 2 GB hitters in Sacramento’s projected lineup.Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
- Jo Adell – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)Jo Adell has been hot of late, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.2-mph to 97.4-mph in the past 14 days.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Los Angeles Angels batters collectively rank 9th- in the league for power this year when judging by their 9.1% Barrel%.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
Betting Trends
- Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-150/+115)The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games at home (+8.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-130)The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+11.05 Units / 68% ROI)
- Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)Lawrence Butler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 away games (+7.10 Units / 27% ROI)
