Injury Report for Tigers vs Cubs - Tuesday, July 21st, 2026

+100O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-120

Framber Valdez – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
Framber Valdez has utilized his curveball 5.3% less often this year (27.8%) than he did last year (33.1%).
Explain: Because curveballs are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Kevin McGonigle – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
Kevin McGonigle is an extreme flyball batter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Chicago (#2-best of all teams on the slate today).
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+135)
Spencer Torkelson pulls many of his flyballs (40.3% — 98th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 7th-shallowest LF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-120)
The Chicago Cubs infield defense projects as the strongest among all the teams on the slate today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Ian Happ – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
Ian Happ is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 92% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
The Chicago Cubs have 3 batters in their projected offense today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Pete Crow-Armstrong, Kevin Alcantara, Ian Happ).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Chicago Cubs – Moneyline (-120)
The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.10 Units / 23% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – Run Line -1.0 (+130)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+6.80 Units / 27% ROI)
Alex Bregman – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+185/-245)
Alex Bregman has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 15 games (+7.15 Units / 48% ROI)

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