Player Prop Bets for Marlins vs Twins - May 13th, 2026

-130O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)+110

Max Meyer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Max Meyer has notched a 13.5% Swinging Strike% this year, grading out in the 89th percentile.
Explain: Swinging Strike% measures how often a pitcher gets a batter to whiff at a pitch and is regarded to be a strong indicator of strikeout ability and overall pitching talent.
Liam Hicks – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
In terms of his home runs, Liam Hicks has had some very good luck since the start of last season. His 16.9 HR per 600 plate appearances figure has been a good deal higher than the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s version of Statcast-based Expected HR/600 at 8.8.
Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
Miami Marlins – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Miami Marlins’ bullpen projects as the 10th-worst among all the teams in Major League Baseball.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Simeon Woods Richard – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Simeon Woods Richardson is expected to wring up 4.1 strikeouts in this outing.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Brooks Lee – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-210/+160)
Brooks Lee is penciled in 2nd on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be an upgrade from his 89% rate of hitting in the bottom-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Victor Caratini – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-170/+130)
In today’s matchup, Victor Caratini is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 10th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 38.6% rate (89th percentile).
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Minnesota Twins have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 23 of their last 40 away games (+6.25 Units / 14% ROI)
Austin Martin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-185/+140)
Austin Martin has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 24% ROI)

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