See the Updated Player Rankings for D-Backs vs Rangers - May 13, 2026

-110O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-110

Ryne Nelson – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Ryne Nelson’s high usage rate of his fastball (65.3% this year) is likely harming his results, since they are generally much less effective than breaking or off-speed pitches.
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so pitchers who rely too heavily on them tend to be less effective than they otherwise would be.
Gabriel Moreno – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+135)
Gabriel Moreno has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (63% of the time), but he is projected to hit 8th in the batting order today.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Arizona Diamondbacks – 2H Moneyline
The Arizona Diamondbacks bullpen ranks as the 5th-best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Kumar Rocker – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
Grading out in the 16th percentile, Kumar Rocker has posted a 17.8% K% since the start of last season.
Explain: One of the best indicators of future strikeouts is past strikeouts.
Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
Joc Pederson may have the upper hand against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks only has 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
Josh Jung – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
Josh Jung hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.2% — 98th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 6th-deepest CF fences today.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games (+8.50 Units / 34% ROI)
Arizona Diamondbacks – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 45 away games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Ildemaro Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+1000/-3000)
Ildemaro Vargas has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 10 away games (+8.50 Units / 85% ROI)

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