Review Player Predictions Overview for Yankees vs Orioles - Wednesday May 13, 2026

-165O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)+140

Max Fried – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
Max Fried’s four-seamer utilization has fallen by 7.1% from last season to this one (24.3% to 17.2%) .
Explain: Fastballs are the one easiest pitches to hit and generate few strikeouts, so a pitcher who begins to use his fastball lessoften will likely be more effective than he used to be.
Aaron Judge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Aaron Judge has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 94.3-mph to 102.7-mph over the past 7 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
New York Yankees – Moneyline (-165)
The New York Yankees projected batting order profiles as the 2nd-strongest of the day in terms of overall batting skill.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Baltimore Orioles – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+130)
Kyle Bradish has put up a .366 BABIP this year, making him one of the unluckiest hurlers in the league on balls in play with better performance likely coming.
Explain: Casual fans and the mainstream media don’t realize that pitchers have limited control over the hits they allow, which can drastically skew their results and the way the market treats them.
Blaze Alexander – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-130/+100)
Typically, batters like Blaze Alexander who hit a lot of flyballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of flyballs such as Max Fried.
Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
Baltimore’s 89.8-mph average exit velocity this year is among the best in Major League Baseball: #5 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Baltimore Orioles – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-130/+100)
The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+7.35 Units / 17% ROI)

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