Current Player Trends for Athletics vs Phillies – Wednesday May 06, 2026

Athletics

@

Philadelphia Phillies

Athletics Insights

• Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  Jeffrey Springs has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 80th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+160/-210)
  Over the past 7 days, Carlos Cortes’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 13.6% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Philadelphia Phillies Insights

• Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 5.2% more often this year (47.2%) than he did last season (42%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Bryce Harper has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
  Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-165)
  The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 36% ROI)
• Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-145)
  The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
• Tyler Soderstrom – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+110/-145)
  Tyler Soderstrom has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.85 Units / 32% ROI)