Current Player Trends for Athletics vs Phillies - Wednesday May 06, 2026

+145O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-170

Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
Jeffrey Springs has averaged 93.6 adjusted pitches per outing this year, placing in the 81st percentile.
Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-180/+140)
Carlos Cortes has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (55% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup in this game.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Lawrence Butler – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+220/-300)
Lawrence Butler has a 95th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.5%) and has the good fortune of hitting them out towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Zack Wheeler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Zack Wheeler has used his off-speed and breaking pitches 5.2% more often this year (47.2%) than he did last season (42%).
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Bryce Harper – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
Bryce Harper has a good chance to have an edge against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Athletics only has 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
The Philadelphia Phillies have been the 2nd-unluckiest offense in the majors this year, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), and are likely to hit better the rest of the season
Explain: When teams underperform their projected talent level, markets may undervalue them even while they are likely to perform better in the near future.

Philadelphia Phillies – Moneyline (-170)
The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.15 Units / 36% ROI)
Athletics – Run Line +1.5 (-140)
The Athletics have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 13 away games (+8.85 Units / 46% ROI)
Jeff McNeil – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+135)
Jeff McNeil has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 59% ROI)

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