Live Score for Rockies vs Mets – April 24th, 2026

Colorado Rockies

@

New York Mets

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+130/-170)
  Despite conventional wisdom, fastballs are generally a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Michael Lorenzen has gone to his off-speed and breaking pitches 6.3% more often this season (66%) than he did last year (59.7%).
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Ezequiel Tovar – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-130/+100)
  Ezequiel Tovar is projected to hit 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 66% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Colorado Rockies’ bullpen grades out as the 4th-worst among all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

New York Mets Insights

• Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Freddy Peralta’s fastball velocity has decreased 1.1 mph this year (93 mph) below where it was last season (94.1 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Francisco Alvarez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+140/-185)
  Francisco Alvarez has seen a significant gain in his exit velocity on flyballs this year; just compare his 99.4-mph average to last season’s 96.9-mph average.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Mark Vientos – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
  Mark Vientos hits many of his flyballs to center field (40.1% — 98th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing MLB’s shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• New York Mets – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+115/-145)
  The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+8.25 Units / 15% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 2.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.10 Units / 41% ROI)
• Brett Baty – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-170)
  Brett Baty has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+6.80 Units / 30% ROI)