Review the Latest Player Stats for Yankees vs Red Sox – Thursday, April 23rd, 2026

New York Yankees

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Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (-105/-125)
  Cameron Schlittler’s 96.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Ben Rice – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Ben Rice has made big improvements with his Barrel%, improving his 15.8% rate last year to 22.2% this season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The New York Yankees have 4 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Jazz Chisholm Jr., Jose Caballero).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Payton Tolle – Over/Under Pitching Outs
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Payton Tolle to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Willson Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-175/+135)
  Willson Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.2-mph average to last year’s 95.8-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Boston Red Sox’ bullpen projects as the best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)
  Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)