Review the Latest Player Stats for Yankees vs Red Sox – Thursday, April 23rd, 2026

New York Yankees

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Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees Insights

• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  Cameron Schlittler’s 96.8-mph fastball velocity this year ranks in the 93rd percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-135/+105)
  Trent Grisham is penciled in 6th in the lineup today, which would be a downgrade from his 100% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this year.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+115/-150)
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Wells (the Yankees’s expected catcher in today’s matchup) is considered to be an elite pitch framer.
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Payton Tolle – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (+100/-130)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Payton Tolle to be on a pitch count in this matchup, projecting a maximum of 84 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Willson Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-160/+125)
  Willson Contreras has seen a substantial increase in his exit velocity on flyballs this season; just compare his 100.2-mph average to last year’s 95.8-mph mark.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Boston Red Sox – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Boston Red Sox’ bullpen projects as the 4th-best among all teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.50 Units / 39% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+120/-155)
  The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.80 Units / 30% ROI)
• Caleb Durbin – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
  Caleb Durbin has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.55 Units / 40% ROI)