Get Betting Tips and Odds for Nationals vs Brewers – 4/12/2026

Washington Nationals

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Milwaukee Brewers

Washington Nationals Insights

• Zack Littell – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+130/-165)
  Recording 17.4 outs per start since the start of last season on average, Zack Littell places him the 89th percentile.
  Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
• Daylen Lile – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Daylen Lile’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this season; his 91.8-mph mark last season has decreased to 89.3-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• Washington Nationals – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Washington Nationals’ bullpen grades out as the worst out of all the teams in the league.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Brandon Woodruff – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-145/+115)
  Brandon Woodruff has used his change-up 5.4% more often this year (23%) than he did last year (17.6%).
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Christian Yelich – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-160)
  Christian Yelich has been very fortunate when it comes to his home runs since the start of last season; his 25.8 HR per 600 plate appearances mark is a fair amount higher than his 18.0 Expected HR/600, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.
  Explain: xHR uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s home run ability more accurately than actual home runs can.
• William Contreras – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  William Contreras hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards the league’s 8th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Run Line -1.5 (+105)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+8.20 Units / 45% ROI)
• Washington Nationals – Moneyline (+180)
  The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 21 away games (+11.90 Units / 57% ROI)
• William Contreras – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+520/-900)
  William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+7.30 Units / 146% ROI)