Odds and Betting Trends for Braves vs Athletics – 7/8/25

Atlanta Braves

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Athletics

On July 8, 2025, the Oakland Athletics host the Atlanta Braves at Sutter Health Park for the first game of their interleague series. Both teams are struggling this season, with the Athletics sitting at 37-55 and the Braves at 39-50. Neither team is in contention for their division, making this matchup crucial as they seek to improve their standings. The Braves are coming off a narrow 2-1 loss, while the Athletics suffered a more significant defeat, falling 6-2 in their last game.

Oakland will send Jeffrey Springs to the mound, who has had a somewhat inconsistent season. Springs holds a 6-6 record with a 4.07 ERA, and while his ERA suggests he’s been average, his 4.72 xFIP indicates that he may have been fortunate at times. Springs projects to pitch around 4.9 innings today, allowing an average of 3.3 earned runs, which is less than ideal. On the other hand, Didier Fuentes is set to start for Atlanta. Fuentes has struggled with a 0-2 record and a troubling 9.00 ERA this season. Despite his poor numbers, the projections suggest he might be due for some positive regression.

Offensively, the Athletics rank 13th in MLB in batting average and 10th in home runs, showcasing some potential despite their overall disappointing performance. Their best hitter has been productive lately, with a .316 batting average and a 1.139 OPS over the last week. The Braves, however, are ranked 21st in batting average and 28th in stolen bases, indicating significant struggles with their offense.

With the game total set at a high 10.5 runs and both teams projected to score heavily, it could be a close contest. The betting markets reflect this sentiment, with the Athletics’ moneyline at +100 and the Braves at -120, suggesting a tightly contested affair. As both teams look to turn their seasons around, this matchup could serve as a pivotal point for either club.

Atlanta Braves Insights

• Didier Fuentes – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Didier Fuentes will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against 6 opposing bats in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform better against right-handed hitters (and the same for lefties). Having this advantage against a lot of opposing hitters can have a huge impact on whether a pitcher will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Ozzie Albies – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-240/+180)
  Ozzie Albies is projected to bat 7th in the batting order in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
  The Atlanta Braves bullpen grades out as the 6th-worst in the league, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Athletics Insights

• Athletics – Moneyline (+100)
  The Athletics infield defense projects as the 3rd-strongest among every team today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
  Jacob Wilson’s average exit velocity has decreased lately; his 85.4-mph seasonal average has dropped to 78.8-mph over the last week.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Denzel Clarke – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Denzel Clarke hits a lot of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 93rd percentile) and has the misfortune of hitting them towards the league’s 11th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Athletics have hit the Game Total Over in 47 of their last 88 games (+7.85 Units / 8% ROI)
• Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 68 games (+13.65 Units / 18% ROI)
• Nick Kurtz – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-120/-110)
  Nick Kurtz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+6.55 Units / 36% ROI)