Official Lineup for Reds vs Red Sox – 7/02/2025

Cincinnati Reds

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Boston Red Sox

On July 2, 2025, the Boston Red Sox will host the Cincinnati Reds for the first game of a double-header at Fenway Park. This matchup marks the third game in the series, and it comes after the Red Sox achieved an impressive 13-6 victory over the Reds on June 30. Both teams enter this game with average records; the Red Sox sit at 43-44 while the Reds are slightly better at 44-42.

The pitching duel features left-hander Brennan Bernardino for the Red Sox and right-hander Nick Martinez for the Reds. Bernardino, who has primarily been a reliever this season with a 3-2 record and a 4.26 ERA, is projected to pitch just 1.2 innings, which raises concerns about his effectiveness. In contrast, Martinez has started 16 games, holding a 5-8 record with a solid 4.12 ERA. Although Bernardino’s advanced Power Rankings rank him as the 201st best starting pitcher, Martinez is significantly better at 71st.

The Red Sox’s offense, ranked 6th in MLB, will be a challenge for Martinez, especially given the high-strikeout nature of the Boston lineup. The projections indicate that Bernardino might struggle against a Reds offense that ranks 13th overall but has been inconsistent.

Boston’s bullpen stands out as the 4th best in MLB, which could be a key factor if Bernardino falters early. Meanwhile, the Reds’ bullpen lags at 29th, which could be detrimental if the game remains close late. With an implied team total of 4.97 runs for the Red Sox, betting markets suggest they have the edge, making this matchup one to watch closely.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

• Cincinnati Reds – 2H Moneyline
  The Cincinnati Reds bullpen ranks as the 2nd-worst in baseball, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Boston Red Sox – Moneyline (-130)
  The Boston Red Sox outfield defense grades out as the best out of all the teams playing today.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.