
St. Louis Cardinals
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Toronto Blue Jays
-105O/U: 9
(-110/-110)-115
(-110/-110)-115
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Matthew Liberatore – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)Matthew Liberatore projects to strikeout an average of 4.2 batters in today’s matchup, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
- Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-180)Lars Nootbaar has seen a big gain in his exit velocity of late; just compare his 94.1-mph average in the past two weeks to his seasonal 92-mph mark.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- St. Louis Cardinals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the St. Louis Cardinals’ bullpen ranks as the 10th-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)Max Scherzer has been unlucky since the start of last season, putting up a 6.16 ERA despite the leading projection system (THE BAT) estimating his true talent level to be 4.82 — a 1.34 difference.Explain: Pitchers that are underperforming should be expected to pitch better going forward, which can create value if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date underperformance.
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.1% — 94th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards baseball’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
