Find Out How to Watch Dodgers vs Royals – Sunday, June 29th, 2025

Los Angeles Dodgers

@

Kansas City Royals

The Kansas City Royals will host the Los Angeles Dodgers at Kauffman Stadium on June 29, 2025, in the third game of their interleague series. The Royals, currently struggling with a record of 39-44, are coming off a notable victory against the Dodgers, winning 9-5 yesterday. Meanwhile, the Dodgers, boasting a solid 52-32 record, experienced a rare setback in that game.

Kris Bubic is projected to take the mound for Kansas City. With a 6-5 record and an impressive ERA of 2.18, he ranks as the 32nd best starting pitcher in MLB according to advanced metrics. However, his 3.30 xFIP suggests he may have benefitted from some good fortune this season, indicating potential challenges ahead. Bubic’s performance has been mixed, but his last outing was strong, where he went 6 innings with 2 earned runs and 8 strikeouts.

On the other hand, Lou Trivino is expected to pitch for Los Angeles, but his limited innings projection of just 1.0 and poor stats—allowing 0.6 earned runs with only 0.7 strikeouts—raise some red flags. This game presents a matchup where Bubic’s abilities may be tested against a Dodgers lineup that ranks 1st in MLB in multiple offensive categories, including team batting average and home runs.

Despite the Royals’ offensive struggles, ranking 26th overall, they may find an opportunity against a Dodgers bullpen that, while strong overall, can be vulnerable. The Game Total is set at a high 9.0 runs, indicating that oddsmakers expect an offensive showcase. Betting markets have Kansas City at +115, suggesting a closer contest than their current standings might indicate. With Bubic’s potential to rise to the occasion, the Royals could very well surprise the Dodgers once again.

Los Angeles Dodgers Insights

• Tommy Edman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Over the last 7 days, Tommy Edman’s Barrel% has experienced a negative regression, plummeting from his seasonal rate of 5.3% down to 0%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Los Angeles Dodgers bats as a group place 3rd- in baseball for power this year when judging by their 10.5% Barrel%.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.

Kansas City Royals Insights

• Kris Bubic – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-155/+120)
  Kris Bubic’s 2420-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 82nd percentile among all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Bobby Witt Jr. has been hot in recent games, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 92.9-mph to 95.6-mph in the last 14 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Salvador Perez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Salvador Perez pulls many of his flyballs (37.2% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Kansas City Royals – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+115/-150)
  The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 57 of their last 82 games (+30.40 Units / 32% ROI)
• Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 67 games (+8.50 Units / 11% ROI)
• Bobby Witt Jr. – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-135/+105)
  Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+14.75 Units / 57% ROI)