Find the TV Channel Information for Yankees vs Reds – 6/23/25

New York Yankees logo

New York Yankees

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Cincinnati Reds logo

Cincinnati Reds

-130O/U: 10.5
(-105/-115)
+110

The Cincinnati Reds will host the New York Yankees on June 23, 2025, at Great American Ball Park in what promises to be an exciting Interleague matchup. The Reds enter this game with a record of 40-38, showcasing an average season thus far. Meanwhile, the Yankees, boasting a strong record of 45-32, have been playing at an elite level. Notably, both teams were successful in their previous outings, with the Reds defeating their opponent by a score of 4-1 and the Yankees winning their last game 4-2.

On the mound for the Reds will be Nick Lodolo, who has shown himself to be an above-average pitcher this season, ranking 83rd among starters with a solid 3.71 ERA. Lodolo has been reliable in his recent starts, including a commendable outing on June 18 where he pitched 6 innings, allowing just 2 earned runs. However, he faces a daunting challenge against a powerful Yankees offense that ranks as the 2nd best in Major League Baseball, known for their ability to hit home runs and accumulate runs.

The Yankees will counter with Allan Winans, who has struggled this season and was recently lit up in his last start, allowing 7 earned runs over just 3 innings. Winans’ projections indicate difficulty, particularly in terms of strikeouts and earned runs, making him a potential liability against the Reds’ offense, which, while average, still holds the capability to capitalize on his weaknesses.

Betting markets view this matchup as close, with Cincinnati holding a moneyline of +110 and New York at -130. The Reds are projected to score an impressive 5.00 runs, while the Yankees have an implied total of 5.50 runs. With both teams fielding pitchers experiencing contrasting forms, this game could hinge on which offense can take advantage of the opposing pitcher’s vulnerabilities.

New York Yankees Insights

  • Allan Winans – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
    The Cincinnati Reds have 6 hitters in the projected lineup that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Allan Winans today.
    Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
  • DJ LeMahieu – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-190/+145)
    Typically, hitters like DJ LeMahieu who hit a lot of groundballs generally hit worse when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Nick Lodolo.
    Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
  • Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)
    Anthony Volpe has a 90th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (36.1%) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 8th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
    Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Cincinnati Reds Insights

  • Nick Lodolo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+110/-145)
    Nick Lodolo’s 93-mph velocity on his fastball this year is a sizeable 1.1-mph decline from last season’s 94.1-mph figure.
    Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
  • Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-255/+190)
    Matt McLain is projected to hit 9th in the batting order today, which would be a downgrade from his 51% rate of hitting in the top-half of the lineup this season.
    Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
  • The Cincinnati Reds have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler Stephenson, Will Benson, Matt McLain, Elly De La Cruz).
    Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Betting Trends

  • Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
    The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 52 games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Over/Under 10.5 Game Total (-105/-115)
    The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 63 games (+17.02 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Matt McLain – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-115/-115)
    Matt McLain has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.95 Units / 55% ROI)