Find the Official Lineup for Athletics vs Blue Jays – 5/30/2025

Athletics

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Toronto Blue Jays

On May 30, 2025, the Toronto Blue Jays will host the Oakland Athletics at Rogers Centre in what promises to be an intriguing matchup. The Blue Jays are coming off a dominant 12-0 victory over the Athletics just one day prior, showcasing their offensive potential. Currently, Toronto sits at .500 with a record of 28-28, while Oakland struggles at 23-34, marking a disappointing season for the Athletics.

The Blue Jays are projected to start Chris Bassitt, who has had an average season but boasts a solid ERA of 3.38. Despite a rough outing in his last start where he allowed 5 earned runs, Bassitt is expected to pitch 6.0 innings today, projecting 2.6 earned runs and 6.4 strikeouts on average. His ability to limit walks will be crucial, as he averages 1.7 walks per game, which is a concern.

On the other side, the Athletics will counter with Jeffrey Springs, who has a 3.97 ERA this season but has been less effective according to the projections. Springs is known for being a low-strikeout pitcher, which may play into the Blue Jays’ hands since they rank 3rd in MLB for the fewest strikeouts. However, Springs has a concerning 4.75 xFIP, suggesting he may not continue his current level of performance.

Offensively, the Blue Jays rank 18th in MLB, struggling particularly with home runs, sitting at 26th. The Athletics, meanwhile, have a surprisingly strong offense, ranking 10th overall and 6th in batting average. However, their lack of success in stolen bases highlights their reliance on hitting for power.

With the Blue Jays favored at -180 on the moneyline, their implied team total of 4.82 runs suggests confidence in their ability to capitalize on the Athletics’ weaknesses. This game could be pivotal for Toronto as they look to build momentum and improve their standing in the American League.

Athletics Insights

• Jeffrey Springs – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+140/-180)
  With 6 batters who bat from the other side in the opposing team’s projected offense, Jeffrey Springs encounters a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Brent Rooker is an extreme flyball hitter and matches up with the strong outfield defense of Toronto (#3-best of all teams on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up poorly with the opposing team’s defensive strength, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
• Brent Rooker – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)
  Brent Rooker hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.5% — 94th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting out towards the game’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Chris Bassitt – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-135/+105)
  Chris Bassitt’s fastball velocity has dropped 2 mph this year (90.6 mph) below where it was last year (92.6 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher whose velocity decreases will likely see worse results.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
  Daulton Varsho has made notable strides with his Barrel%, bettering his 6.4% rate last year to 22.6% this season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Per the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 3rd-least strikeout-prone lineup in today’s games is the Toronto Blue Jays with a 18.7% underlying K%.
  Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 49 games (+7.26 Units / 13% ROI)
• Athletics – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-110/-120)
  The Athletics have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 17% ROI)
• Jacob Wilson – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+900/-2700)
  Jacob Wilson has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)