How to Watch the Rangers vs Giants Game – Friday April 25, 2025

Texas Rangers

@

San Francisco Giants

On April 25, 2025, the San Francisco Giants will host the Texas Rangers in what promises to be an intriguing Interleague matchup at Oracle Park. Both teams are enjoying solid seasons thus far, with the Giants holding a 17-9 record and the Rangers at 14-11. Notably, the Giants are coming off a narrow victory against the Rangers, having won their last game 6-5, while Texas suffered a close loss in their previous contest, falling 4-3.

The Giants are projected to start Justin Verlander, who, despite an ERA of 5.47, has shown signs of improvement with a 4.36 xFIP that suggests he may have been unlucky this season. Verlander has pitched well in his last outing, going 6 innings with just 1 earned run, 6 strikeouts, and 2 hits. He faces Rangers’ Nathan Eovaldi, who has been solid with a 2.64 ERA, but projections indicate he may not sustain that level of success moving forward.

Offensively, the Giants rank 16th in MLB, reflecting an average performance, while the Rangers struggle at 25th in the league, particularly in batting average. The Giants’ strong bullpen, ranked 4th, could be a decisive factor in this matchup against the Rangers’ 24th-ranked bullpen. With a low Game Total of 7.5 runs, the betting markets suggest a tight contest, and San Francisco’s moneyline of -130 implies a close game.

As both teams look to capitalize on their strengths, Verlander’s ability to limit walks against a low-walk Rangers lineup could give the Giants an edge. Meanwhile, Eovaldi’s exceptional control will challenge the Giants’ more patient approach at the plate. This matchup could very well hinge on which pitcher can best navigate the opposing lineup.

Texas Rangers Insights

• Nathan Eovaldi – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Nathan Eovaldi’s fastball velocity over his last 3 outings (91.2 mph) has been quite a bit lower than than his seasonal rate (92.9 mph).
  Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs, so a pitcher who improves his velocity will likely see improved results.
• Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  The San Francisco Giants have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Joc Pederson has a strong chance of never facing a bullpen mismatch all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Joc Pederson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-150/+115)
  Joc Pederson pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (37.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting them towards the league’s 2nd-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

San Francisco Giants Insights

• San Francisco Giants – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-120)
  Justin Verlander is an extreme flyball pitcher (42.6% FB% according to the leading projection system, THE BAT) and is fortunate enough to be pitching in the #28 HR venue in the majors in this game.
  Explain: This pitcher’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Wilmer Flores – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-195/+150)
  Extreme groundball batters like Wilmer Flores tend to perform better against extreme flyball pitchers like Nathan Eovaldi.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create boosted performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Justin Verlander – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-165)
  Projected catcher Patrick Bailey grades out as an elite pitch framer, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Betting Trends

• San Francisco Giants – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-135/+105)
  The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.15 Units / 58% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.90 Units / 58% ROI)
• Heliot Ramos – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (-105/-125)
  Heliot Ramos has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)