Mets vs Guardians Injury Report - Tuesday, August 04, 2026

+115O/U: 7.5
(+100/-120)-135

Sean Manaea – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Sean Manaea’s slider usage has fallen by 5% from last year to this one (34.9% to 29.9%) .
Explain: Because sliders are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use them less often may see less success as a result, particularly if he uses his fastball more instead.
Carson Benge – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+155/-200)
Carson Benge has a 96th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (37.2%) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards the league’s 3rd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
Joey Cantillo’s 1869-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 1st percentile among all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Travis Bazzana – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Travis Bazzana is projected to hit 6th on the lineup card in this matchup, which would be a downgrade from his 75% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this year.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-130/+100)
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), Austin Hedges (the Guardians’s expected catcher in today’s game) projects as an elite pitch framer.
Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).

Cleveland Guardians – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-160/+125)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+4.35 Units / 23% ROI)
Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 18 games (+10.80 Units / 56% ROI)
A.J. Ewing – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+130/-165)
A.J. Ewing has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.75 Units / 33% ROI)

WriteNow™ by EV Analytics