
St. Louis Cardinals
@

New York Yankees
+150O/U: 8
(-120/+100)-170
(-120/+100)-170
St. Louis Cardinals Insights
- Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under Pitching OutsHunter Dobbins has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 10.5 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
- Masyn Winn – Over/Under Total BasesMasyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph EV last season has dropped to 87.5-mph.Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
- St. Louis Cardinals bats as a unit rank among the best in baseball this year (4th-) as it relates to their 89.4-mph average exit velocity.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
New York Yankees Insights
- Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today’s game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Amed Rosario – Over/Under Total BasesIn today’s matchup, Amed Rosario is at a disadvantage facing the league’s 5th-deepest CF center field fences given that he hits his flyballs towards center field at a 39.5% rate (97th percentile).Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.
