Check the Betting Guide and Odds for Cardinals vs Yankees - Tuesday August 4th, 2026

+175O/U: 8
(-110/-110)-205

Hunter Dobbins – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-165)
Hunter Dobbins has been given a below-average leash this year, throwing 10.5 fewer adjusted pitches-per-game than the average hurler.
Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
Masyn Winn – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-165/+125)
Masyn Winn’s exit velocity on flyballs has fallen off this season; his 89.6-mph EV last season has dropped to 87.5-mph.
Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
St. Louis Cardinals bats as a unit rank among the best in baseball this year (4th-) as it relates to their 89.4-mph average exit velocity.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Ryan Weathers – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
The St. Louis Cardinals have 6 batters in the projected batting order that will have the benefit of the platoon advantage against Ryan Weathers in today’s game.
Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
Austin Wells – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) estimates Austin Wells’s true offensive skill to be a .304, suggesting that he has had some very poor luck this year given the .061 disparity between that figure and his actual .243 wOBA.
Explain: Players that are underperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Overs if the lines are too heavily weighing the unlucky, to-date underperformance.
Luis Garcia – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+105/-135)
Luis Garcia Jr. hits a high percentage of his flyballs to center field (39.4% — 96th percentile) and will have to hit them out towards baseball’s 5th-deepest CF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-120/-110)
The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 22 games at home (+11.25 Units / 42% ROI)
St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-110/-120)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 58% ROI)
Trent Grisham – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+155)
Trent Grisham has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 15 games (+8.30 Units / 55% ROI)

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