Watch the Game Highlights for Blue Jays vs Guardians - Thursday, September 03, 2026

-110O/U: 8
(-105/-115)-110

José Soriano – Over/Under 4.0 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
Jose Soriano’s higher usage rate of his secondary pitches this year (48.6% compared to 42.5% last year) should work in his favor since they are generally much more effective than fastballs.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Sean Keys – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)
Sean Keys has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (82% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen profiles as the 7th-best in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Tanner Bibee – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+120/-155)
Tanner Bibee’s 2156-rpm fastball spin rate this year ranks in the 21st percentile out of all SPs.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Chase DeLauter – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+135/-175)
Chase DeLauter has been hot lately, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 91.3-mph to 95.5-mph in the past two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Jose Ramirez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
Jose Ramirez pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (42.9% — 100th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 6th-shallowest RF fences in today’s game.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.05 Units / 14% ROI)
Toronto Blue Jays – Run Line -1.5 (+155)
The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games (+6.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Nathaniel Lowe – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+800/-2000)
Nathaniel Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+9.60 Units / 96% ROI)

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