See the Weather Forecast for Yankees vs Red Sox - Thursday, June 25th, 2026

-145O/U: 8
(-110/-110)+125

Cam Schlittler – Over/Under 6.5 Strikeouts (+100/-130)
Out of all SPs, Cameron Schlittler’s fastball velocity of 97.1 mph grades out in the 94th percentile this year.
Explain: Velocity is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Jazz Chisholm – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-155/+120)
Jazz Chisholm Jr. is penciled in 7th on the lineup card in today’s game, which would be a downgrade from his 50% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
It may be smart to expect worse results for the New York Yankees offense in the future, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) sees them as the 9th-luckiest offense in MLB this year.
Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Connelly Early – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Connelly Early is expected to rack up an average of 16.6 outs in this game.
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
Marcelo Mayer has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the past two weeks.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Boston’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #28 overall.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Over/Under 8.0 Game Total (-110/-110)
The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-105/-125)
The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Paul Goldschmidt – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-105/-125)
Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 away games (+11.00 Units / 52% ROI)

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