See the Weather Forecast for Yankees vs Red Sox – Thursday, June 25th, 2026

New York Yankees

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Boston Red Sox

New York Yankees Insights

• New York Yankees – Moneyline (-160)
  Among every team today, the 2nd-strongest infield defense belongs to the New York Yankees.
  Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
• Anthony Volpe – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-200/+155)
  Anthony Volpe has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (96% of the time), but he is projected to bat 5th on the lineup card in this matchup.
  Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
• According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the projected batting order for the New York Yankees in this game holds an estimated true talent wOBA of .321, which is a good deal worse than their actual wOBA of .332 this year.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Boston Red Sox Insights

• Connelly Early – Over/Under 16.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Throwing 91.7 adjusted pitches per outing this year on average, Connelly Early checks in at the 75th percentile.
  Explain: Pitchers who average more pitches per game are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Marcelo Mayer – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-115/-115)
  Marcelo Mayer has been cold recently, with his seasonal exit velocity of 85.6-mph dropping to 79.9-mph in the past two weeks.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Boston’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in Major League Baseball: #28 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (-120/+100)
  The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games at home (+12.60 Units / 26% ROI)
• New York Yankees – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+100/-130)
  The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+5.65 Units / 34% ROI)