Read the Game Recap for Marlins vs Braves - August 5th, 2026

+110O/U: 8.5
(-105/-115)-130

Eury Perez – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-110/-120)
Out of all SPs, Eury Perez’s fastball spin rate of 2670 rpm grades out in the 100th percentile this year.
Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
Griffin Conine – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-170/+130)
Griffin Conine has primarily hit in the back-half of the lineup this year (68% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the lineup today.
Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
The Miami Marlins have 4 bats in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (according to the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Kyle Stowers, Heriberto Hernandez, Owen Caissie, Griffin Conine).
Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Bryce Elder – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
Generating 17.1 outs per game per started this year on average, Bryce Elder places in the 80th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who averages more outs per start than his Outs prop may be a good bet to go over, and visa-versa for the under.
Austin Riley – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)
Austin Riley has been hot recently, raising his seasonal exit velocity of 90.9-mph to 97-mph in the past 14 days.
Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
Atlanta Braves – 2H Moneyline
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Atlanta Braves’ bullpen profiles as the 10th-best out of all teams in the majors.
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Atlanta Braves – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line -0.5 (+115)
The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+11.20 Units / 56% ROI)
Miami Marlins – 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line +0.5 (-150)
The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Griffin Conine – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+420/-660)
Griffin Conine has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+7.40 Units / 106% ROI)

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