Top Player Prop Picks for D-Backs vs Cardinals - June 25, 2026

+115O/U: 9
(-105/-115)-135

Arizona Diamondbacks – Moneyline (+115)
The Arizona Diamondbacks outfield defense profiles as the 3rd-best among every team today.
Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
Ildemaro Vargas – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-205/+160)
Ildemaro Vargas has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (57% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in today’s game.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
According to the leading projection system (THE BAT X), the offense with the 4th-least strikeout-prone lineup today is the Arizona Diamondbacks with a 20.1% underlying K%.
Explain: THE BAT X analyzes each player in today’s specific lineup to figure out which teams have the least inherent strikeout potential for the opposing pitcher.

Michael McGreevy – Over/Under 2.5 Strikeouts (-175/+135)
Michael McGreevy is projected to strikeout 3 bats in this outing, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, and more.
Lars Nootbaar – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+145/-185)
Lars Nootbaar is likely to have an advantage against every reliever throughout the game, since the bullpen of the Arizona Diamondbacks has just 1 same-handed RP.
Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
St. Louis Cardinals – 2H Moneyline
The St. Louis Cardinals bullpen grades out as the 9th-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

St. Louis Cardinals – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-120/-110)
The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+6.90 Units / 12% ROI)
Over/Under 9.0 Game Total (-105/-115)
The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+8.65 Units / 39% ROI)
Corbin Carroll – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+135/-170)
Corbin Carroll has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+14.00 Units / 26% ROI)

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