
Los Angeles Dodgers
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Colorado Rockies
-185O/U: 11.5
(-110/-110)+160
(-110/-110)+160
Los Angeles Dodgers Insights
- Eric Lauer – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)Eric Lauer has utilized his change-up 8.3% more often this season (15.5%) than he did last season (7.2%).Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Freddie Freeman has taken a step back with his Barrel% lately; his 9% seasonal rate has fallen to 0% over the last week.Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
- Los Angeles Dodgers – 2H MoneylineThe Los Angeles Dodgers bullpen grades out as the 3rd-best in MLB, via the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Colorado Rockies Insights
- Colorado Rockies – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+130)Ryan Feltner was rolling in his previous outing and allowed 0 ER.Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
- Jake McCarthy – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)Jake McCarthy has been cold lately, with his seasonal exit velocity of 84.7-mph dropping to 75-mph over the last week.Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Colorado Rockies will score 5.99 runs on average in this game: the 2nd-most of all teams today.Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
Betting Trends
- Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-130/+100)The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Los Angeles Dodgers – Over/Under 3.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-105/-125)The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-140/+110)Freddie Freeman has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
