
San Diego Padres
@

New York Mets
-135O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)+115
(-110/-110)+115
San Diego Padres Insights
- Xander Bogaerts – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-175/+135)Xander Bogaerts has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this season (61% of the time), but he is projected to bat 8th in the lineup in this matchup.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- San Diego Padres – 2H MoneylineThe San Diego Padres bullpen projects as the 3rd-best in the league, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
New York Mets Insights
- Marcus Semien – Over/Under Total BasesMarcus Semien pulls many of his flyballs (39% — 96th percentile) and sets up very well considering he’ll be hitting them towards MLB’s 4th-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
