See the Starting Lineup for Rays vs Brewers – March 31, 2026

Tampa Bay Rays

@

Milwaukee Brewers

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Shane McClanahan – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-110/-120)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Shane McClanahan to be limited today, projecting a maximum of 32 pitches.
  Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
• Chandler Simpson – Over/Under 0.5 RBIs (+280/-400)
  Since the start of last season, Chandler Simpson’s 0% Barrel%, a reliable stat for measuring power, places him in the 0th percentile among his peers.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+110/-145)
  Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.8%) and has the misfortune of hitting them in the direction of the league’s 7th-deepest RF fences today.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Milwaukee Brewers Insights

• Brandon Woodruff – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have 6 bats in the projected offense that will have the handedness advantage against Brandon Woodruff in today’s game.
  Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
• William Contreras – Over/Under Stolen Bases
  William Contreras’s quickness has declined this season. His 26.17 ft/sec Statcast Sprint Speed last season sits at 23.94 ft/sec now.
  Explain: Slow players tend to get fewer hits because they can’t beat out groundballs, fewer extra base hits, and fewer stolen bases.
• It may be sensible to expect negative regression for the Milwaukee Brewers offense the rest of the season, considering that the leading projection system (THE BAT X) views them as the luckiest offense in the league since the start of last season.
  Explain: When teams overperform their projected talent level, markets may overvalue them even while they are likely to perform worse in the near future.

Betting Trends

• Milwaukee Brewers – Moneyline (-140)
  The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 96 of their last 162 games (+21.20 Units / 10% ROI)
• Tampa Bay Rays – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 63 of their last 112 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
• Richie Palacios – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (+130/-170)
  Richie Palacios has hit the Singles Over in 4 of his last 6 away games (+3.40 Units / 56% ROI)