Starting Lineup for Rockies vs Blue Jays – March 31, 2026

Colorado Rockies

@

Toronto Blue Jays

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Kyle Karros – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Kyle Karros’s 1% Barrel% (a reliable stat to assess power) is in the 12th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Colorado Rockies – 2H Moneyline
  The Colorado Rockies bullpen grades out as the 5th-worst in MLB, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Max Scherzer – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-115/-115)
  Max Scherzer’s 2391-rpm fastball spin rate since the start of last season is in the 75th percentile among all starters.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  The Colorado Rockies have just 1 same-handed RP in their bullpen, so Jesus Sanchez can likely count on never losing the platoon advantage against the ‘pen all game.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-110/-120)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr. projects as the 5th-best batter in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Moneyline (-260)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 88 of their last 147 games (+22.29 Units / 12% ROI)
• Colorado Rockies – Over/Under 1.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+110/-140)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 91 of their last 157 games (+16.65 Units / 9% ROI)
• Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 0.5 Singles (-150/+120)
  Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.55 Units / 25% ROI)