See Picks and Betting Line for Tigers vs Astros - Wednesday, June 17, 2026

-110O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-110

Casey Mize – Over/Under 14.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)
The leading projection system (THE BAT X) expects Casey Mize to have a pitch count in today’s game, projecting a maximum of 70 pitches.
Explain: A pitcher who is on a pitch count is likely to be pulled from the game earlier, record fewer outs, and generate fewer strikeouts.
Colt Keith – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-140/+110)
Colt Keith is projected to bat 6th on the lineup card in this game, which would be a downgrade from his 76% rate of hitting in the top-half of the batting order this season.
Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
Spencer Torkelson – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-155/+120)
Spencer Torkelson pulls a lot of his flyballs (39.8% — 97th percentile) and has the good fortune of hitting them towards MLB’s 2nd-shallowest LF fences in today’s matchup.
Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Peter Lambert – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
Contrary to popular belief, fastballs are typically a pitcher’s least effective pitch. Peter Lambert must realize this, because he has relied on his secondary offerings a lot this year: 60.8% of the time, grading out in the 84th percentile.
Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
Houston Astros – Moneyline (-110)
The Houston Astros projected batting order grades out as the 4th-strongest of all teams on the slate in terms of overall hitting ability.
Explain: A pitcher who faces a strong opposing offense will be more likely to underperform his usual performance, particularly in terms of hits and runs, in that game.

Houston Astros – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-140/+110)
The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.80 Units / 23% ROI)
Detroit Tigers – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (+110/-140)
The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 games (+5.10 Units / 12% ROI)
Jose Altuve – Over/Under 0.5 Home Runs (+600/-1100)
Jose Altuve has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+17.60 Units / 176% ROI)

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