Review the Angels vs Blue Jays Insights and Game Breakdown – May 9, 2026

Los Angeles Angels

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Toronto Blue Jays

Los Angeles Angels Insights

• Jack Kochanowicz – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (+115/-145)
  Jack Kochanowicz’s higher utilization percentage of his secondary pitches this season (42.3% vs. 34.1% last year) should work in his favor consider they are typically much more effective than fastballs.
  Explain: A pitcher who limits has fastball usage will instead heavily use change-ups, curveballs, sliders, etc. These are far more effective pitches at preventing runs and generating strikeouts.
• Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+165/-220)
  Nolan Schanuel’s exit velocity on flyballs has decreased this year; his 90.9-mph average last year has fallen off to 87.6-mph.
  Explain: Most home runs are flyballs, and the harder those flyballs are hit, the more often they turn into home runs. This is a strong indicator of power.
• The Los Angeles Angels have 3 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Jorge Soler, Mike Trout, Yoan Moncada).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Toronto Blue Jays – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-180)
  In his last GS, Trey Yesavage turned in a great performance and gave up 0 ER.
  Explain: A pitcher who was strong in his last outing may be sharp once again in his next outing.
• Jesus Sanchez – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+125/-165)
  Typically, hitters like Jesus Sanchez who hit a lot of groundballs tend to be less successful when facing pitchers who also induce a lot of groundballs such as Jack Kochanowicz.
  Explain: This mostly has to do with the way the hitter’s swing plane interacts with the pitch trajectory, and it can create diminished performance across all categories and hidden value few are considering.
• Toronto Blue Jays – 2H Moneyline
  The Toronto Blue Jays bullpen ranks as the 3rd-best in the game, according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 4.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.15 Units / 35% ROI)
• Los Angeles Angels – Over/Under 3.5 Team Total (-115/-115)
  The Los Angeles Angels have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+5.90 Units / 14% ROI)
• Nolan Schanuel – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-195/+150)
  Nolan Schanuel has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)