Find Betting Odds and Bets for Athletics vs Orioles – May 9th, 2026

Athletics

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Baltimore Orioles

Athletics Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 3.5 Strikeouts (-170/+130)
  Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2431.4 rpm grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Despite posting a .443 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Cortes has had positive variance on his side given the .134 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .309.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen projects as the 5th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-120/-110)
  Compared to average, Shane Baz has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.2 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Pete Alonso – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+115/-150)
  Pete Alonso has made significant gains with his Barrel% recently, bettering his 13.1% seasonal rate to 37.5% in the past 7 days.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+180/-235)
  Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38.5% — 95th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.