Find Betting Odds and Bets for Athletics vs Orioles – May 9th, 2026

Athletics

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Baltimore Orioles

Athletics Insights

• Aaron Civale – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+125/-160)
  Out of all starters, Aaron Civale’s fastball spin rate of 2431.4 rpm grades out in the 84th percentile since the start of last season.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Carlos Cortes – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+150/-195)
  Despite posting a .425 wOBA this year, the leading projection system (THE BAT X) believes Carlos Cortes has had positive variance on his side given the .118 difference between that figure and his estimated true talent wOBA of .307.
  Explain: Players that are overperforming should be expected to play worse going forward, which can create value on prop Unders if the lines are too heavily weighing the lucky, to-date overperformance.
• Athletics – 2H Moneyline
  According to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Athletics’ bullpen projects as the 4th-worst out of all the teams in the majors.
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Shane Baz – Over/Under 17.5 Pitching Outs (-115/-115)
  Compared to average, Shane Baz has been given more leash than the average pitcher this year, recording an extra 6.1 adjusted pitches each game.
  Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
• Dylan Beavers – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-145/+115)
  Dylan Beavers has primarily hit in the top-half of the lineup this year (56% of the time), but he is projected to hit 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.
  Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
• Coby Mayo – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-135/+105)
  Coby Mayo pulls a high percentage of his flyballs (38% — 94th percentile) but may find it hard to clear the league’s 4th-deepest LF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set does not match up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to worse-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 9.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• Athletics – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (-105)
  The Athletics have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 away games (+11.95 Units / 74% ROI)
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Walks (-115/-115)
  Taylor Ward has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+13.00 Units / 60% ROI)