Read the Pirates vs Rockies Prediction and Game Breakdown – June 21st, 2026

Pittsburgh Pirates

@

Colorado Rockies

Pittsburgh Pirates Insights

• Ryan O’Hearn – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (-125/-105)
  Ryan O’Hearn will probably have an advantage against every reliever for the game’s entirety, since the bullpen of the Colorado Rockies has just 1 same-handed RP.
  Explain: Hitters perform worse against pitchers of the same handedness (i.e. righty-vs-righty), and being able to avoid those matchups against the bullpen boosts performance and creates hidden edge.
• The leading projection system (THE BAT X) forecasts that the Pittsburgh Pirates will tally 7.31 runs on average in this game: the most of all teams playing today.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like player quality, ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.

Colorado Rockies Insights

• Michael Lorenzen – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+120/-155)
  As forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X), Michael Lorenzen is expected to post an average of 14.6 outs in this matchup.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Tyler Freeman – Over/Under 1.5 Hits (+180/-235)
  The leading projection system (THE BAT X) projects Tyler Freeman in the 92nd percentile when it comes to his batting average skill.
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors and regularly tests among the most accurate systems available. Batting average is the most common measure of a player’s ability to generate hits.
• Compared to their .326 overall projected rate, the .300 the leading projection system (THE BAT X) wOBA of the Colorado Rockies projected batting order in this game suggests this version of the lineup significantly a bit watered down.
  Explain: Betting lines are often based on seasonal team quality. If today’s lineup is watered down, however, there may be value if markets aren’t accounting for the lower quality of this offense.

Betting Trends

• Over/Under 11.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 43% ROI)
• Over/Under 11.5 Game Total (-110/-110)
  The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
• Edouard Julien – Over/Under 1.5 Hits Runs and RBIs (+105/-135)
  Edouard Julien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.45 Units / 27% ROI)