Player Stats for Orioles vs Rays – May 18th, 2026

Baltimore Orioles

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Tampa Bay Rays

Baltimore Orioles Insights

• Trevor Rogers – Over/Under 4.5 Strikeouts (+110/-140)
  Trevor Rogers’s 2448-rpm fastball spin rate this year grades out in the 84th percentile out of all starting pitchers.
  Explain: Spin rate is a key component to fastball success in generating strikeouts and preventing runs.
• Taylor Ward – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Taylor Ward has struggled with his Barrel% lately; his 5% seasonal rate has dropped to 0% in the last two weeks.
  Explain: Barrel% measures how often a player hits the ball at the optimal exit velocity and launch angle and is a terrific measure of underlying power.
• The Baltimore Orioles have 4 bats in their projected batting order today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (via the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Tyler O’Neill, Coby Mayo, Weston Wilson, Blaze Alexander).
  Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts

Tampa Bay Rays Insights

• Shane McClanahan – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+125/-160)
  Compared to the average pitcher, Shane McClanahan has been given less leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an -12.4 fewer adjusted pitches each start.
  Explain: Pitchers with a shorter leash are more likely to get pulled earlier in games and record fewer outs.
• Taylor Walls – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-120/-110)
  Taylor Walls’s average exit velocity has fallen off this season; his 86.4-mph mark last season has dropped off to 81.4-mph.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Tampa Bay Rays – 2H Moneyline
  The Tampa Bay Rays bullpen projects as the 2nd-worst in baseball, per the leading projection system (THE BAT).
  Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.

Betting Trends

• Tampa Bay Rays – Moneyline (-140)
  The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 18 games at home (+11.90 Units / 52% ROI)
• Over/Under 7.5 Game Total (+100/-120)
  The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 30 games (+5.85 Units / 17% ROI)
• Gunnar Henderson – Over/Under 0.5 Runs (+135/-180)
  Gunnar Henderson has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.35 Units / 53% ROI)