
Pittsburgh Pirates
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Toronto Blue Jays
+135O/U: 7.5
(-110/-110)-160
(-110/-110)-160
Pittsburgh Pirates Insights
- Spencer Horwitz – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-150/+115)Spencer Horwitz has primarily hit in the back-half of the batting order this season (85% of the time), but he is penciled in 4th in the batting order today.Explain: The higher in the order a player bats, the more plate appearances he will get and the more opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits higher in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting lower.
- Pittsburgh Pirates – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Pittsburgh Pirates’ bullpen profiles as the 8th-best out of all MLB teams.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a strong bullpen sneakily creates a tougher matchup for the opposing offense and suppresses a game’s runs.
Toronto Blue Jays Insights
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+120/-155)Vladimir Guerrero Jr. hits many of his flyballs to center field (38.8% — 90th percentile) and will have a big advantage facing the league’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s game.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
