Top Picks: Player Prop Picks for Guardians vs Blue Jays – Saturday, April 25th, 2026

Cleveland Guardians

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Toronto Blue Jays

Cleveland Guardians Insights

• Joey Cantillo – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (+105/-135)
  Joey Cantillo projects to record an average of 14.8 outs in today’s outing, as forecasted by the leading projection system (THE BAT X).
  Explain: THE BAT X is a highly sophisticated projection system that accounts for a multitude of factors like ballpark, weather, umpire, defense, and more.
• Angel Martinez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+135)
  Angel Martinez has been cold of late, with his seasonal exit velocity of 88.4-mph dropping to 77.7-mph in the last 7 days.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
• Cleveland’s 88-mph average exit velocity this year is among the worst in MLB: #29 overall.
  Explain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.

Toronto Blue Jays Insights

• Kevin Gausman – Over/Under 5.5 Strikeouts (-125/-105)
  Kevin Gausman’s change-up rate has increased by 5.3% from last season to this one (37.5% to 42.8%) .
  Explain: Because change-ups are one of the most effective pitches to use, a pitcher who alters his pitch mix to use more of them will often see more success as a result.
• Daulton Varsho – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-145/+115)
  Daulton Varsho is an extreme flyball hitter and faces the weak outfield defense of Cleveland (#1-worst on the slate).
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up well with the opposing team’s defensive weakness, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
• Eloy Jimenez – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (-180/+140)
  Eloy Jimenez hits many of his flyballs to center field (39.3% — 95th percentile) and is a great match for the park considering he’ll be hitting towards MLB’s 10th-shallowest CF fences in today’s matchup.
  Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.

Betting Trends

• Toronto Blue Jays – Over/Under 2.5 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total (+125/-160)
  The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
• Cleveland Guardians – Moneyline (+125)
  The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 45 games (+12.40 Units / 23% ROI)
• Davis Schneider – Over/Under 0.5 Total Bases (+110/-140)
  Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.25 Units / 25% ROI)