Tampa Bay Rays
@
Baltimore Orioles
+115O/U: 8.5
(-110/-110)-135
(-110/-110)-135
Tampa Bay Rays Insights
- Freddy Peralta – Over/Under 15.5 Pitching Outs (-105/-125)Compared to the average starting pitcher, Freddy Peralta has been given a longer leash than the typical pitcher this year, throwing an extra 4.2 adjusted pitches each start.Explain: Pitchers with a longer leash are more likely to go deeper into games and record more outs.
- Liam Hicks – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-160/+125)Liam Hicks has primarily hit in the top-half of the batting order this year (95% of the time), but he is projected to bat 7th on the lineup card in today’s game.Explain: The lower in the order a player bats, the fewer plate appearances he will get and the fewer opportunities he will get to hit the Over for every market. A player who hits lower in the order than he normally does may provide extra value opportunity since the market may be based on him hitting higher.
- Yandy Diaz – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+100/-130)Yandy Diaz has a 100th percentile opposite-field rate on his flyballs (43.2%) and will have a big advantage hitting them in the direction of the league’s shallowest RF fences today.Explain: This player’s skill set matches up particularly well with the park he’s in today, which may lead to better-than-usual performance.
Baltimore Orioles Insights
- The Baltimore Orioles have 3 batters in their projected lineup today with a high (i.e. over 27%) underlying K% (per the leading projection system, THE BAT X) (Colton Cowser, Carlos Narvaez, Christian Encarnacion-Strand).Explain: Teams that have multiple high-strikeout hitters will make it much easier for the opposing pitcher to record strikeouts