
Chicago White Sox
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Kansas City Royals
+155O/U: 8.5
(-120/+100)-175
(-120/+100)-175
Chicago White Sox Insights
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)With 6 batters who bat from the opposite side in the opposing team’s projected batting order, Jonathan Cannon faces a tough challenge while lacking the platoon advantage in most plate appearances in this game.Explain: Right-handed pitchers perform worse against left-handed hitters (and visa-versa). If several hitters hold this advantage against the pitcher, it can have a huge impact on whether he will perform well or struggle on any given day.
- Miguel Vargas – Over/Under 1.5 Total Bases (+130/-170)There has been a decrease in Miguel Vargas’s average exit velocity this year, from 89.9 mph last year to 85.5 mph nowExplain: Hitting the ball hard increases the chances of either a home run or the ball landing in fair territory for a hit before a fielder can get to it.
- Grant Taylor – Over/Under 1.5 Strikeouts (+185/-245)Edgar Quero, the White Sox’s expected catcher in today’s matchup, grades out as a horrible pitch framer according to the leading projection system (THE BAT).Explain: Pitch framing is a catcher’s ability to make a ball look like a strike to the umpire, “stealing” strikes for his pitcher. This leads to more positive outcomes (like strikeouts) and fewer negative ones (like walks or earned runs).
Kansas City Royals Insights
- Kansas City Royals – Moneyline (-175)The Kansas City Royals infield defense projects as the strongest out of all the teams playing today.Explain: Defense is an integral part of preventing hits and runs.
- Jac Caglianone – Over/Under 0.5 Hits (-190/+145)Jac Caglianone has experienced some negative variance in regards to his batting average since the start of last season; his .169 figure is a good deal lower than his .246 Expected Batting Average, based on the leading projection system (THE BAT X)’s interpretation of Statcast data.Explain: xBA uses highly advanced Statcast data to measure a player’s batting average ability more accurately than actual batting average can.
- Kansas City Royals – 2H MoneylineAccording to the leading projection system (THE BAT), the Kansas City Royals’ bullpen ranks as the 8th-worst among all the teams in the game.Explain: Most bettors only consider the starting pitcher, but a weak bullpen sneakily creates an easier matchup for the opposing offense and boosts a game’s runs.
Betting Trends
- Over/Under 8.5 Game Total (-120/+100)The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 37% ROI)
- Chicago White Sox – 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline (+145)The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Noah Cameron – Over/Under 2.5 Earned Runs (+115/-150)Noah Cameron has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.65 Units / 23% ROI)
